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Thursday

2 July 2026

Good morning. For the first time in over two years, fuel actually got cheaper in India yesterday, and it is a real sign of how much the easing of tensions in West Asia is starting to filter into everyday life here. Away from the pump, New Delhi hosted a big diplomatic moment and the government quietly rewrote the rules on your provident fund.

In today's newsletter: petrol, diesel and cooking gas finally get cheaper, Japan's PM pledges $68 billion in investment on her first India visit, and India overhauls the 73-year-old provident fund rulebook.

MARKETS AT A GLANCE

Closing levels · July 1, 2026

Sensex

76,922.64

UP 0.58%

Nifty 50

23,987.95

UP 0.51%
 

USD/INR

95.23

DOWN 67 paise

Brent Crude

$72.25

DOWN 0.96%

Both benchmarks rose as easing tensions in West Asia lifted sentiment, while the rupee slipped further past 95 against a strengthening dollar and Brent's slide is already showing up at Indian pumps.

MAIN STORY

Petrol, Diesel and Cooking Gas Get Cheaper as West Asia Tensions Ease

Fuel got cheaper in India on Wednesday for the first time in more than two years, as easing conflict in West Asia finally dragged global crude prices down enough to reach the pump. Nayara Energy, India's largest private fuel retailer, cut petrol prices by ₹5 a litre and diesel by ₹3 a litre across its network of more than 7,000 stations, the first such cut by any retailer in the country in over two years.

The relief spread further. Commercial LPG cylinders got cheaper by ₹183.50, dropping to ₹2,930 after touching a record ₹3,113 last month, while jet fuel prices fell to around ₹110 a litre in Delhi, a cut that could eventually work its way into airfares. State-run retailers Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum have so far held their prices steady.

The Bigger Picture

This is the first tangible sign that the West Asia conflict's grip on Indian household budgets is loosening. Brent has slipped back toward $72 a barrel from well above $80 during the worst of the fighting, and if the de-escalation holds, more retailers are likely to follow Nayara's lead in the coming weeks.

1 Thing Everyone Missed

State-run oil marketing companies, who control most of India's retail fuel network, have not moved yet. They held prices steady through the spike too, absorbing the losses instead of passing them on, which means they are likely waiting to recoup margin before they pass on any relief to you.

DEEP DIVE

Japan's Takaichi Pledges $68 Billion in India Investment on First Visit

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi landed in New Delhi on Wednesday for the 16th India-Japan Annual Summit, her first visit to India since taking office, with the two governments setting a target of drawing in 10 trillion yen, or roughly $68 billion, in private Japanese investment into India over the next decade.

Modi and Takaichi also finalised a ten-year roadmap on technology, digitalisation and rare earth minerals, alongside a plan aimed at moving more than 500,000 people between the two countries over the next five years. Talks continue through Friday and are expected to yield separate statements on AI cooperation and economic security, at a moment of rising friction between Japan and China.

DEEP DIVE

India Just Replaced Its 73-Year-Old Provident Fund Rulebook

The Centre has notified the Employees' Provident Fund Scheme, 2026, retiring the EPF Scheme of 1952 and replacing it with a digital-first framework under the new labour codes, effective from June 29.

The contribution rate stays unchanged at 12% for both employers and employees, but withdrawals are now grouped into three simplified categories covering illness, education and marriage, and housing, and members will need to link Aadhaar, PAN and a seeded bank account for any transaction. Employers get three transition schemes to clear up old compliance gaps before enforcement tightens.

TECH

Breaking.exe

Government hits pause. India's IT ministry directed Meta to pause the rollout of WhatsApp's new usernames feature, warning it could open the door to impersonation and phishing scams, days after the company began introducing the option with a campaign fronted by Aamir Khan.

Global AI oversight. The United Nations and the ITU launched the AI for Good Global Commission, co-chaired by Salesforce's Marc Benioff and Rwanda's president, bringing together tech chiefs from Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon and Anthropic to shape how AI gets governed worldwide.

Lending platform's IPO. TPG-backed digital lender Fibe filed draft papers to raise ₹750 crore through a fresh share sale, joining a growing line of Indian fintechs racing toward public listings this year.

Apple's Europe headache. Apple CEO Tim Cook and the EU's tech chief held a "constructive" call over Siri's stalled European rollout, though neither side detailed what, if anything, was actually resolved in the standoff over the bloc's competition rules.

THE WORLD

Pangaea Revisited

Trump ditches trade pact. The Trump administration declined to renew the USMCA trade pact with Canada and Mexico on its deadline, triggering a decade of annual reviews that could reopen a deal North America has relied on for stability.

Xi's global pitch. Marking the Communist Party's 105th anniversary, Xi Jinping struck an unusually outward-looking tone, touting China's global influence while reiterating that reunification with Taiwan remains a historic mission.

Hormuz standoff continues. US and Iranian technical teams resumed indirect talks in Doha over who controls shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran now pushing to charge passage fees once the current 60-day truce expires.

Prisoner lists exchanged. Pakistan and India swapped their biannual lists of prisoners under a 2008 consular pact, with Islamabad pressing for the release of 97 Pakistanis who have already completed their sentences in Indian jails.

THE REST

Also, Also, Also

Rain spoils the opener. Rain washed out the first T20I between India and England at Chester-le-Street after Abhishek Sharma's 59 and captain Shreyas Iyer's 68 had powered India to 189 for 7.

Monsoon closes in. The monsoon advanced further into Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh and is now expected to reach Delhi within two to three days, even as the IMD flags a below-normal July for large parts of the country.

Akshay Kumar's box office run. Akshay Kumar and Suniel Shetty's comedy Welcome to the Jungle crossed ₹120 crore worldwide in five days, already surpassing the lifetime collection of the 2007 original.

Dream11 exits wealthtech. Dream Sports is shutting down its wealth management app Dream Money less than a year after launch, the latest retreat as the company reworks its business following the crackdown on real-money gaming.